Ten-year projections over attendance, finance, clergy supply and school places — built from your own published history, with sliders for the assumptions and goal lines for where synod wants to be. Every line is reproducible arithmetic a board can interrogate.
Where are we heading? Where do we want to be? And what would have to change to close the gap?
Trend fits over your own history — the national Statistics for Mission and Finance series plus your parish returns — project attendance, income, parish share and school rolls forward with an optimistic/pessimistic band. Series breaks and COVID years are handled honestly, and the fit quality is shown, not hidden.
A cohort-ageing model: every member of clergy, their age band, and the year they reach the retirement age you choose. Drag the sliders — retirement age, ordinations per year — and watch projected headcount recalculate against the wave. The age-profile chart is the retirement wave in waiting.
Planning goals — stipendiary posts, Reader/LLM and SSM numbers and benefice coverage, housing EPC targets, ordinations — entered per target year and drawn as dashed lines against the actuals. The gap between the lines is the strategy conversation, on one screen.
Scenario presets for the meeting — continue current trend, growth strategy succeeds, managed decline — and custom sliders for everything else.
Usual Sunday attendance, worshipping community and electoral roll — history from 2009 where published, projected under the scenario band.
Income vs expenditure with the projection band — where the pessimistic line crosses expenditure is the affordability cliff — plus the share trend that funds stipendiary ministry.
Retirement wave by year, projected headcount under your ordination assumptions, and the age-band profile that drives it all.
Readers/LLMs and SSMs tracked by headcount and by benefice coverage — because ministers cluster, and coverage is what parishes feel.
Population served per in-charge post, by deanery, alongside Census religious-affiliation context — the deaneries at the top feel retirements first.
Church-school pupil rolls with an assumption-driven projection you calibrate to your local authority’s place forecasts.
Parsonage stock against the EPC-C trajectory — the practical edge of the 2030 net-zero commitment. More on Net Zero →
Forecasts are only as good as the data — a companion page scores completeness (dates of birth, UPRNs, links) with a work-queue link for every gap.
Least-squares trends, cohort ageing and stated assumptions — no AI in the numbers, every line reproducible, fit quality (R²) printed on the page.
Projections tell you what happens if nothing changes. The quadrant exercise is how a diocese decides where to change it — and it is deliberately a judgement, moderated by people, not a score a machine assigns.
Every church placed on financial sustainability against missional activity. Q1 financially fragile and needing missional development · Q2 financially sustainable, missional development needed · Q3 financially fragile but missionally active · Q4 sustainable and active — the healthy end of the scale.
Scores are set by archdeacons and area bishops who know the places, then moderated across areas for consistency. The platform holds the exercise, the reasoning and the moderation — it does not pretend to produce the judgement.
A single year’s distribution is a snapshot. What a programme board actually needs is which churches moved between exercises and in which direction — so successive exercises are held together and compared rather than replacing one another.
A church not assessed in an exercise reads as unassessed, never as a low score. On the map that is grey — a gap in the data, not a confirmed position — because quietly scoring an absence would defeat the whole exercise.
Proposed reorganisations carry the quadrant standing of the churches involved alongside the affordability figures, so a decision that looks affordable on paper can still be questioned on fragility. Workforce planning →
Quadrant position slices the funded-programme reporting, connecting where investment went with where the need was assessed to be. Reporting & dashboards →
Live screens from a demo diocese built entirely from published national data — real structure and real statistics, generated people.
A projection you can’t interrogate is a slide. A projection with the assumptions on sliders is a strategy meeting.— See also: Pastoral planning · Reporting & dashboards